The odds
as of Oct 22, 11:23 UTC- Christopher Luxon 58% +6.5
- Chris Hipkins 37% −11
- David Seymour <1% —
- Chlöe Swarbrick <1% −0.5
- Winston Peters <1% —
- Nicola Willis <1% —
- Carmel Sepuloni <1% —
Traded today$7K
Traded in all$50K
Favourite, 7 days+4.5 pts
Christopher Luxon, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 15: 53% · Oct 16: 53% · Oct 17: 53% · Oct 18: 53% · Oct 19: 50% · Oct 20: 51% · Oct 21: 56% · Oct 22: 58%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordA general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 General elections.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the Governor-General as Prime Minister of New Zealand. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of New Zealand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗