The odds
as of Oct 21, 23:21 UTC- La Nieve - The Black Ball 91% —
- This City May Have Chewed Me Up (But It Hasn't Spit Me Out) - The Debut 75% +3
- I Knew It, I Knew You - Toy Story 5 67% −1
- By Any Means - By Any Means 56% +1.5
- How to Write a Song About You - Power Ballad 55% +13
- Runway - The Devil Wears Prada 2 53% +21
- Your God is Sleeping - Behemoth! 34% —
- Let Me Sell You a Dream - Musk 33% +2.5
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$18K
Traded in all$32K
Favourite, 7 days+17 pts
La Nieve - The Black Ball, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 16: 56% · Oct 17: 89% · Oct 18: 92% · Oct 19: 90% · Oct 20: 91% · Oct 21: 91%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThe Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed song is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Song. If a song is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Song when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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