The odds
as of Oct 7, 20:27 UTC- Before Jan 20, 2029 42% +1
- Before 2027 8.3% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$237K
Favourite, 7 daysunch
Before Jan 20, 2029, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 29: 43% · Sep 30: 42% · Oct 1: 41% · Oct 2: 42% · Oct 4: 42% · Oct 5: 42% · Oct 6: 42% · Oct 7: 42%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Before Jan 20, 2029; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. For the purposes of this market, a meeting must be direct and in real time. In-person encounters where both parties are physically present in the same location will count. Virtual meetings or calls where both parties speak directly to each other will also count. However, simply being present at the same event without direct interaction will not count. Exchanging written correspondences, communicating through intermediaries, or other asynchronous communication will not count. Cancelled meetings and near-misses will not count.
Settlement sources: official government websites; official press release distribution services; The New York Times; the Associated Press; Bloomberg News; Reuters; Axios; Politico; Semafor; The Information; The Washington Post; The Wall Street Journal; ABC; CBS; CNN; Fox News; MSNBC; NBC; official social media accounts verified by the platform; official readouts from relevant governments or organizations; photographic or video evidence from accredited media organizations
See it on Kalshi ↗