The odds
as of Nov 10, 23:13 UTC- Chance of yes 3.8% +0.6
Traded today$3K
Traded in all$182K
Yes, 7 daysunch
Yes, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceNov 3: 3.3% · Nov 4: 3.5% · Nov 5: 3.5% · Nov 6: 3.2% · Nov 7: 3.2% · Nov 8: 3.2% · Nov 9: 3.2% · Nov 10: 3.9%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Giorgia Meloni ceases to be the Prime Minister of Italy for any period of time between December 5, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Giorgia Melon's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of Italy, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
See it on Polymarket ↗