The odds
as of Oct 28, 05:19 UTC- 100k+ 29% +1.5
- 0 to 25k 23% +3.3
- 75k to 100k 16% −2
- 50k to 75k 14% −0.5
- 25k to 50k 13% —
- -25k to 0 4.3% −0.6
- <-25k 4.3% −1.3
Traded today$545
Traded in all$25K
Favourite, 7 days−2 pts
100k+, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 21: 32% · Oct 22: 32% · Oct 23: 32% · Oct 24: 32% · Oct 25: 31% · Oct 26: 28% · Oct 27: 35% · Oct 28: 29%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for October 2026, scheduled to be released on November 6, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
See it on Polymarket ↗