Which bloc will win the most Knesset seats?

(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Opposition bloc; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the bloc of The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu holds the most total seats in the Knesset following the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes. Rankings are determined by total seat count after the election, including seats not contested. A seat is won when the candidate is declared elected by the electoral authority and either the challenge period has expired, legal challenges are resolved, or the member has taken their seat. Party affiliation is based on the party under which the candidate was elected, regardless of later changes. In case of ties for a rank, all tied parties at that rank resolve to Yes with values split proportionally. If a ranking is skipped due to ties (e.g., two parties tie for #1, next is #3), markets for the skipped rank (#2) resolve to No. The two blocs are ranked against each other. Each bloc's seat total is the combined number of seats won by the lists named for it, including all seats won by a named joint list. Seats won by any other list count toward neither bloc, and surplus-vote agreements and post-election coalitions do not change either bloc's total. Amcha Yisrael means the list led by Ofer Winter, also reported as People of Israel. If both blocs win the same number of seats, both markets resolve to Yes at $0.50.