The odds
as of Nov 10, 23:13 UTC- December 31 45% +11
- November 30 23% +18
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$3K
Traded in all$32K
Favourite, 7 days+7 pts
December 31, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceNov 3: 38% · Nov 4: 36% · Nov 5: 35% · Nov 6: 35% · Nov 7: 35% · Nov 8: 35% · Nov 9: 34% · Nov 10: 46%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Heidi Overton is confirmed as Commissioner of the U.S. Food and Drug Administration by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If Heidi Overton's nomination is formally withdrawn, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.
The Senate must confirm this nominee as Commissioner of the U.S. Food and Drug Administration for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗