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PolymarketCloses January 1, 2027

John Fetterman out by...?

The market puts it at 3% — a long shot, about one in 33 — on Polymarket, as of Oct 9, 07:34 UTC.

Yes 3%

The odds

as of Oct 9, 07:34 UTC
  • Chance of yes 3% —
Traded today$3K
Traded in all$124K
Yes, 7 daysunch

Yes, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Oct 1Oct 93%

Oct 2: 2.8% · Oct 3: 2.8% · Oct 4: 2.9% · Oct 5: 2.9% · Oct 6: 2.9% · Oct 7: 2.9% · Oct 8: 2.9% · Oct 9: 3%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman ceases to be U.S. Senator from Pennsylvania for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Fetterman's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗

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