The odds
as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC- Fear 73% +5
- Extreme Fear 19% −1
- Neutral 8.5% −4
- Greed 1.5% −4
- Extreme Greed 1% —
Traded today$4K
Traded in all$41K
Favourite, 7 days+22 pts
Fear, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 52% · Sep 29: 55% · Sep 30: 54% · Oct 1: 54% · Oct 2: 71% · Oct 3: 69% · Oct 4: 69% · Oct 5: 70%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Fear; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the value at 4:00 PM ET on Oct 9, 2026 is Fear, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: CNN Fear & Greed Index
See it on Kalshi ↗