The odds
as of Oct 7, 11:24 UTC- Above 162 T tokens 73% −6
- Above 164 T tokens 24% −55
- Above 166 T tokens 21% −68
- Above 168 T tokens 19% −67
- Above 170 T tokens 7% −53
- Above 172 T tokens 5% −57
- Above 174 T tokens 3% —
- Above 178 T tokens 4% −56
A ladder: each line is its own yes/no question on the same number, in order, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$18K
Traded in all$30K
Favourite, 7 days+21 pts
Above 162 T tokens, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 5: 93% · Oct 6: 39% · Oct 7: 38%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Above 162 T tokens; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the OpenRouter token usage for Oct 5–11, 2026 is above 162 T tokens, then the market resolves to Yes. This event will resolve based on the value for the seven UTC calendar days from Oct 5–11, 2026, as observed at 10:00 AM ET on Oct 12, 2026. For purposes of this market, “token usage” means the token usage included in OpenRouter's AI Model Rankings and does not represent total AI token usage across all providers or platforms. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with OpenRouter. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Settlement sources: OpenRouter - AI Model Rankings
See it on Kalshi ↗