The odds
as of Nov 5, 11:16 UTC- At least 54% 93% —
- At least 56% 96% +13
- At least 58% 96% +2
- At least 60% 89% −8
- At least 62% 15% −21
- At least 64% 3% −3
- At least 66% 8% —
- At least 68% 1% −5
A ladder: each line is its own yes/no question on the same number, in order, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$20K
Traded in all$28K
Favourite, 7 days+5 pts
At least 56%, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 29: 91% · Oct 30: 89% · Oct 31: 89% · Nov 1: 90% · Nov 2: 90% · Nov 3: 86% · Nov 4: 96% · Nov 5: 56%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, At least 56%; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Phil Weiser in the 2026 Colorado gubernatorial election is 56% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Phil Weiser ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
Settlement sources: Elections Division, Office of the Secretary of State, Denver, CO
See it on Kalshi ↗