The odds
as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC- Above -0.1% 89% +10
- Above 0.0% 71% −4
- Above 0.1% 59% —
- Above 0.2% 50% +6
- Above 0.3% 5% —
- Above 0.4% 8% —
- Above 0.5% 2.5% −1
A ladder: each line is its own yes/no question on the same number, in order, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$737
Traded in all$52K
Favourite, 7 days+3.5 pts
Above -0.1%, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 75% · Sep 29: 75% · Sep 30: 73% · Oct 1: 90% · Oct 2: 91% · Oct 3: 91% · Oct 4: 88% · Oct 5: 89%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Above -0.1%; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than -0.1% (single-decimal) in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will always close at 8:25 AM ET on the scheduled day of the data release (December 10, 2026). Please note: the Expiration Value is the single-decimal value published at the Source Agency. In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.
Settlement sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics
See it on Kalshi ↗