The odds
as of Oct 25, 01:34 UTC- Democratic sweep 45% −1
- Michigan, New Hampshire, Alaska, Ohio 5.5% −6
- Maine, Michigan, New Hampshire, Alaska 4.5% −9
- New Hampshire, Alaska, Ohio 3.5% +4
- Maine, Michigan, New Hampshire, Ohio 3.5% —
- Michigan, New Hampshire, Ohio 2.5% −5
- New Hampshire, Ohio 1.5% −1
- Maine, New Hampshire, Alaska, Ohio 1.5% —
Traded today$28K
Traded in all$43K
Favourite, 7 days+3.5 pts
Democratic sweep, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 18: 42% · Oct 19: 40% · Oct 20: 40% · Oct 21: 40% · Oct 22: 40% · Oct 23: 43% · Oct 24: 42% · Oct 25: 46%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Democratic sweep; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If a Democratic candidate in Maine's U.S. Senate election, a Democratic candidate in Michigan's U.S. Senate election, a Democratic candidate in New Hampshire's U.S. Senate election, a Democratic candidate in Alaska's U.S. Senate election, and a Democratic candidate in Ohio's U.S. Senate special election win their respective November 3, 2026 elections, then the market resolves to Yes. A Democratic candidate is a candidate listed with the Democratic Party label on the general election ballot. Any other winner, including an independent, is a candidate other than a Democrat. This market is eligible for accelerated determination two days after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. The full rules provide further details.
Settlement sources: Maine Secretary of State, Division of Elections; Michigan Secretary of State; New Hampshire Secretary of State; Alaska Division of Elections; Ohio Secretary of State
See it on Kalshi ↗