The odds
as of Nov 2, 23:15 UTC- Chance of yes 3.9% −6
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$39K
Yes, 7 days−8.6 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 26: 13% · Oct 27: 7% · Oct 28: 7% · Oct 29: 7% · Oct 30: 11% · Oct 31: 10% · Nov 1: 10% · Nov 2: 3.9%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for wordIf the U.S. sovereign wealth fund that President Trump ordered the creation of holds some financial asset before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: The New York Times; Reuters; Axios; Politico; Semafor; The Information; The Washington Post; The Wall Street Journal; ABC; CBS; CNN; Fox News; MSNBC; White House; the Department of the Treasury; the Department of Commerce; the Associated Press; Bloomberg News; NBC
See it on Kalshi ↗