The odds
as of Oct 5, 07:48 UTC- Abdul El-Sayed 72% +1
- Mike Rogers 28% −1
Traded today$81K
Traded in all$5.0M
Favourite, 7 daysunch
Abdul El-Sayed, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 72% · Sep 29: 74% · Sep 30: 74% · Oct 1: 73% · Oct 2: 73% · Oct 3: 72% · Oct 4: 72% · Oct 5: 72%
The same question on Polymarket
Two venues, two sets of traders, sometimes two slightly different rules — read both before comparing. Polymarket's number is as of Oct 5, 07:48 UTC.
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Abdul El-Sayed; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If a representative of the Democratic party is sworn in as a Senator of Michigan for the term beginning in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Settlement sources: United States Congress
See it on Kalshi ↗