The odds
as of Oct 29, 05:19 UTC- Jeff Bezos 91% —
- Larry Page 90% +1
- Elon Musk 75% —
- Mark Zuckerberg 9% —
- Sergey Brin 9% —
- Jensen Huang 5% —
- Warren Buffett 3% —
- Steve Ballmer 3% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$633
Traded in all$48K
Favourite, 7 days+1 pts
Jeff Bezos, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 22: 94% · Oct 23: 93% · Oct 24: 93% · Oct 25: 92% · Oct 26: 91% · Oct 27: 91% · Oct 28: 91% · Oct 29: 91%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Jeff Bezos; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Jeff Bezos is one of the three wealthiest people in the world on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: Forbes
See it on Kalshi ↗