The odds
as of Oct 29, 02:24 UTC- Above 2.75% >99% —
- Above 3.00% >99% +1
- Above 3.25% >99% +1
- Above 3.50% >99% +1
- Above 3.75% 99% +2
- Above 4.00% 83% −2
- Above 4.25% 2.5% −4
- Above 4.50% 1.5% −3
A ladder: each line is its own yes/no question on the same number, in order, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$174K
Traded in all$657K
Favourite, 7 daysunch
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Above 2.75%; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 2.75% following the Federal Reserve's Dec 9, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes. This market will expire the first 2:05 PM ET following the release of a Federal Reserve statement for their Dec 9, 2026 meeting or one week following the last day of that meeting.
Settlement sources: Federal Reserve Board of Governors
See it on Kalshi ↗