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Texas Senate election: Ken Paxton vote percent At least 42% 6% ▼−88Closest Senate race in 2026? Mississippi 93% ▲+87Closest Governor race in 2026? Kansas 96% ▲+84Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? Nithya Raman, 4-6% 88% ▲+81Mississippi Senate winner? Cindy Hyde-Smith 14% ▼−74Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026? Mississippi 81% ▲+74Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Nov 6, 2… Abdul El-Sayed 80% ▲+71How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after … Below 45 82% ▲+63How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after th… 56 69% ▲+62Tennessee Governor election: Marsha Blackburn vote… At least 48% 4.5% ▼−62How many House seats will Democrats win in Nevada? 3 5.5% ▼−62Will Susan Collins outperform the polls? Yes 3.5% ▼−60Will the filibuster be weakened? Before 2028 85% ▲+602026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victor… Democrats, 12 to 14% 68% ▲+53
KalshiGame · Nov 4

Pigato vs Maduzzi

Lisa Pigato leads at 83% (about 8 in ten) on Kalshi, as of Nov 4, 13:16 UTC. It's down 1.5 points in the last 24 hours.

Lisa Pigato 83% ▼ 1.5 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Nov 4, 13:16 UTC
  • Lisa Pigato 83% −1.5
  • Gaia Maduzzi 18% —
Traded today$225K
Traded in all$261K
Favourite, 7 days−1.5 pts

Lisa Pigato, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Nov 3Nov 468%

Nov 3: 80% · Nov 4: 68%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Lisa Pigato; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Lisa Pigato wins the Pigato vs Maduzzi professional tennis match in the 2026 W75 Petange Round of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Pigato vs Maduzzi professional tennis match in the 2026 W75 Petange Round of 32 after a ball has been played. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), all markets will resolve to $0.50. If a player withdraws or forfeits after a match has started, that player will resolve to No. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources: ESPN; ITF; Fox Sports; Flashscore

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