The odds
as of Nov 5, 23:15 UTC- Above 2400 mw 96% +3.5
- Above 2600 mw 94% —
- Above 2800 mw 91% —
- Above 3000 mw 85% —
- Above 3200 mw 82% —
- Above 3400 mw 65% —
- Above 3600 mw 61% —
- Above 3800 mw 49% —
A ladder: each line is its own yes/no question on the same number, in order, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$30K
Traded in all$30K
Favourite, 7 days+0.5 pts
Above 2400 mw, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceNov 3: 96% · Nov 4: 93% · Nov 5: 96%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Above 2400 mw; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If First Solar Inc. reports Above 2400 MW module volume sold in Q1 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Settlement sources: Fiscal.ai
See it on Kalshi ↗