The odds
as of Nov 5, 05:17 UTC- Chance of yes <1% −4
Traded today$4K
Traded in all$55K
Yes, 7 days−3 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 28: 4% · Oct 29: 4% · Oct 30: 4% · Oct 31: 4% · Nov 2: 4% · Nov 3: 4.1% · Nov 4: 3.5% · Nov 5: 1%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for wordIf a bill ending self rule in Washington DC becomes law before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: Library of Congress
See it on Kalshi ↗