The odds
as of Oct 5, 07:04 UTC- December 31 82% +22
- November 30 76% +17
- October 31 72% +22
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$69K
Traded in all$172K
Favourite, 7 days+62 pts
December 31, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceSep 28: 17% · Sep 29: 17% · Sep 30: 28% · Oct 1: 28% · Oct 2: 68% · Oct 3: 60% · Oct 4: 89% · Oct 5: 81%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Spain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament prior to their scheduled election at the end of their parliamentary term.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Spain; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗