The odds
as of Nov 5, 10:17 UTC- Chance of yes 16% −3
Traded today$6K
Traded in all$621K
Yes, 7 days−1.5 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 29: 18% · Oct 30: 22% · Oct 31: 21% · Nov 1: 20% · Nov 2: 20% · Nov 3: 20% · Nov 4: 19% · Nov 5: 17%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for wordIf the United States government has taken control of at least some part of the Panama Canal before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: The New York Times
See it on Kalshi ↗