The odds
as of Nov 6, 09:19 UTC- Chance of yes 55% +1
Traded today$1K
Traded in all$27K
Yes, 7 days−2 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 30: 57% · Oct 31: 56% · Nov 1: 55% · Nov 2: 55% · Nov 3: 55% · Nov 4: 56% · Nov 5: 56% · Nov 6: 55%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for wordIf the California High-Speed Rail Authority announces that permanent mainline track installation on the Central Valley high-speed rail guideway has physically begun (rail laid on the running alignment, not materials staging, railhead or yard trackwork, or a declared "track-laying phase") before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: California High-Speed Rail Authority
See it on Kalshi ↗