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Texas Senate election: Ken Paxton vote percent At least 42% 6% ▼−88Closest Senate race in 2026? Mississippi 93% ▲+87Closest Governor race in 2026? Kansas 96% ▲+84Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? Nithya Raman, 4-6% 88% ▲+81Mississippi Senate winner? Cindy Hyde-Smith 14% ▼−74Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026? Mississippi 81% ▲+74Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Nov 6, 2… Abdul El-Sayed 80% ▲+71How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after … Below 45 82% ▲+63How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after th… 56 69% ▲+62Tennessee Governor election: Marsha Blackburn vote… At least 48% 4.5% ▼−62How many House seats will Democrats win in Nevada? 3 5.5% ▼−62Will Susan Collins outperform the polls? Yes 3.5% ▼−60Will the filibuster be weakened? Before 2028 85% ▲+602026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victor… Democrats, 12 to 14% 68% ▲+53
KalshiCloses November 18, 2026

Luca Van Assche vs Learner Tien: Set 2 Winner

Learner Tien leads at 56% (about 6 in ten) on Kalshi, as of Nov 4, 13:16 UTC. It's up 7 points in the last 24 hours.

Learner Tien 56% ▲ 7 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Nov 4, 13:16 UTC
  • Learner Tien 56% +7
  • Luca Van Assche 44% —
Traded today$66K
Traded in all$72K
Favourite, 7 days+7 pts

Learner Tien, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Nov 3Nov 441%

Nov 3: 62% · Nov 4: 41%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Learner Tien; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Learner Tien wins set 2 in the Luca Van Assche vs Learner Tien professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Paris Round Of 32, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Luca Van Assche vs Learner Tien professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Paris Round Of 32. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly. Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources: ATP

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