The odds
as of Nov 12, 05:18 UTC- Nick Begich III 95% +1.6
- Bill Hill 3.4% −2.5
- Eric Hafner 1% —
- Jim McDermott 1% —
- Gavin Solomon <1% —
- Matt Schultz <1% —
- John Williams <1% —
Traded today$18K
Traded in all$95K
Favourite, 7 days+5 pts
Nick Begich III, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceNov 5: 94% · Nov 6: 94% · Nov 7: 72% · Nov 8: 89% · Nov 9: 91% · Nov 10: 91% · Nov 11: 95% · Nov 12: 95%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Nick Begich III; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Nick Begich III wins the Alaska U.S. House of Representatives election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Settlement sources: Alaska Division of Elections
See it on Kalshi ↗