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PolymarketCloses November 1, 2026

Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?

The market puts it at 29% — about 3 in ten — on Polymarket, as of Oct 22, 22:21 UTC. It's down 18 points in the last 24 hours.

Yes 29% ▼ 18 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 22, 22:21 UTC
  • Chance of yes 29% −18
Traded today$27K
Traded in all$28K
Yes, 7 days+18 pts

Yes, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Oct 21Oct 2229%

Oct 21: 47% · Oct 22: 29%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Vivek Ramaswamy campaign pulls its advertisement featuring Amy Acton's mother between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The advertisement will be considered pulled if either of the following occurs within this market's timeframe: Vivek Ramaswamy or an authorized representative of his campaign publicly announces that the campaign has stopped, or will stop, airing the advertisement; or a consensus of credible reporting confirms that the campaign has pulled, withdrawn, or stopped airing the advertisement on television. Replacing the advertisement with a new or edited version that no longer features Amy Acton's mother will qualify. Editing the advertisement while it continues to feature Amy Acton's mother will not qualify. The following will not qualify: removal of the advertisement from social media or other online platforms while it continues to air on television; a reduction in spending or airtime that does not stop the advertisement from airing; the advertisement leaving the air because its previously scheduled ad buy has ended, unless the campaign or a consensus of credible reporting describes the advertisement as having been pulled or withdrawn; removal by a television station, platform, or court order rather than by the campaign; and the airing or removal of any advertisement by a third party not affiliated with the Ramaswamy campaign. If the campaign announces that it will stop airing the advertisement, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of when the advertisement actually stops airing. A subsequent decision to resume airing the advertisement will not change a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Vivek Ramaswamy and his campaign, including official websites, verified social media accounts, interviews, and press conferences; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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