The odds
as of Oct 21, 23:21 UTC- Nightfaces 54% +12
- Pale Sun 43% −9
- Mary is Missing 34% −6
- Magan's Fare 23% −9.5
- Meeting Your Maker 22% −5
- Spilled Milk 21% −11
- Agapito 20% −8
- The Birthday Gift 14% −14
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$14K
Traded in all$27K
Favourite, 7 days+45 pts
Nightfaces, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 15: 19% · Oct 16: 29% · Oct 17: 25% · Oct 18: 24% · Oct 19: 23% · Oct 20: 43% · Oct 21: 54%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThe Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Live Action Short Film. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Live Action Short Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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