The odds
as of Oct 5, 23:22 UTC- Above 32.75 billion pounds 96% −1
- Above 33.00 billion pounds 93% +1
- Above 33.25 billion pounds 65% —
- Above 33.50 billion pounds 14% −7
- Above 33.75 billion pounds 3.5% −5
A ladder: each line is its own yes/no question on the same number, in order, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$8K
Traded in all$93K
Favourite, 7 days−1.5 pts
Above 32.75 billion pounds, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 98% · Sep 29: 98% · Sep 30: 98% · Oct 1: 98% · Oct 2: 98% · Oct 3: 98% · Oct 4: 98% · Oct 5: 96%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Above 32.75 billion pounds; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If USDA NASS reports Wisconsin’s total milk production for 2026 is above 32.75 billion pounds, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolution will be based on total milk production in Wisconsin during calendar year 2026, measured in pounds, as reported by USDA NASS in its Wisconsin — Milk Production Historical Data Series.
Settlement sources: USDA NASS
See it on Kalshi ↗