The odds
as of Oct 22, 23:22 UTC- Chance of yes 1.6% —
Traded today$6K
Traded in all$553K
Yes, 7 daysunch
Yes, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 15: 1.9% · Oct 16: 1.9% · Oct 17: 1.9% · Oct 18: 1.7% · Oct 19: 1.9% · Oct 20: 1.9% · Oct 21: 1.9% · Oct 22: 1.6%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗