The odds
as of Oct 19, 17:22 UTC- Fear 56% +9
- Extreme Fear 39% −3
- Neutral 2.5% —
- Greed 1% —
- Extreme Greed 1% —
Traded today$3K
Traded in all$25K
Favourite, 7 days+5.5 pts
Fear, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 12: 52% · Oct 13: 48% · Oct 14: 51% · Oct 15: 46% · Oct 16: 47% · Oct 17: 54% · Oct 18: 53% · Oct 19: 56%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Fear; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the value at 4:00 PM ET on Oct 23, 2026 is Fear, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: CNN Fear & Greed Index
See it on Kalshi ↗