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PolymarketCloses January 1, 2027

Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?

The market puts it at 44% — about 4 in ten — on Polymarket, as of Oct 29, 04:22 UTC.

Yes 44%

The odds

as of Oct 29, 04:22 UTC
  • Chance of yes 44% —
Traded today$22K
Traded in all$30K
Yes, 7 days+16 pts

Yes, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Oct 27Oct 2944%

Oct 27: 47% · Oct 28: 42% · Oct 29: 44%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump meets with Flávio Bolsonaro between October 27, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify. A meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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