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PolymarketCloses January 1, 2027

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

The market puts it at 98% — about 10 in ten — on Polymarket, as of Oct 28, 05:19 UTC. It's up 0.5 points in the last 24 hours.

Yes 98% ▲ 0.5 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 28, 05:19 UTC
  • Chance of yes 98% +0.5
Traded today$107K
Traded in all$930K
Yes, 7 days−0.8 pts

Yes, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Oct 20Oct 2898%

Oct 21: 99% · Oct 22: 99% · Oct 23: 99% · Oct 24: 99% · Oct 25: 98% · Oct 26: 98% · Oct 27: 98% · Oct 28: 98%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 US Midterm Elections happen on November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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