The odds
as of Nov 9, 04:20 UTC- Chance of yes 5.1% −4.3
Traded today$5K
Traded in all$27K
Yes, 7 days−1 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceNov 2: 4% · Nov 3: 6% · Nov 4: 5% · Nov 5: 2.8% · Nov 6: 2.3% · Nov 7: 3% · Nov 8: 5.5% · Nov 9: 5.1%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
See it on Polymarket ↗