The odds
as of Oct 29, 15:19 UTC- Lindsay Clancy 78% —
- Erling Haaland 54% —
- Bad Bunny 44% —
- Nicolás Maduro 34% −6.5
- Lamine Yamal 30% +21
- Alysa Liu 28% +0.5
- Donald Trump 10% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$595
Traded in all$28K
Favourite, 7 days+1 pts
Lindsay Clancy, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 22: 77% · Oct 23: 77% · Oct 24: 77% · Oct 25: 76% · Oct 26: 77% · Oct 27: 78% · Oct 28: 78% · Oct 29: 78%
The same question on Kalshi
Two venues, two sets of traders, sometimes two slightly different rules — read both before comparing. Kalshi's number is as of Oct 29, 15:19 UTC.
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is ranked in the Top 5 of Google’s official Year in Search United States "People" list for 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to United States. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through United States → Trending → People. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.
This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.
See it on Polymarket ↗