The odds
as of Nov 4, 17:15 UTC- Inde Navarrette 89% —
- Jaafar Jackson 78% +12
- Wagner Moura 45% +29
- Chase Infiniti 31% +3
- Zendaya 22% —
- Tom Holland 21% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$1K
Traded in all$29K
Favourite, 7 days+2.5 pts
Inde Navarrette, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 28: 87% · Oct 29: 87% · Oct 30: 87% · Oct 31: 87% · Nov 1: 91% · Nov 2: 90% · Nov 3: 89% · Nov 4: 89%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is ranked in the Top 5 of Google’s official Year in Search Global "Actors" list for 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Trending → Actors. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure.
This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.
See it on Polymarket ↗