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PolymarketCloses November 3, 2026

Texas Senate Election: Tarrant County Winner

James Talarico (D) leads at 94% (about 9 in ten) on Polymarket, as of Oct 14, 21:21 UTC. It's down 0.8 points in the last 24 hours.

James Talarico (D) 94% ▼ 0.8 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 14, 21:21 UTC
  • James Talarico (D) 94% −0.8
  • Ken Paxton (R) 5.5% —
Traded today$4K
Traded in all$25K
Favourite, 7 days−2.5 pts

James Talarico (D), the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Oct 6Oct 1494%

Oct 7: 97% · Oct 8: 94% · Oct 9: 95% · Oct 10: 96% · Oct 11: 95% · Oct 12: 94% · Oct 13: 95% · Oct 14: 94%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Tarrant County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Tarrant County.
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