The odds
as of Oct 13, 15:28 UTC- 37.9 to 38.1 22% −1
- 38.2 to 38.4 18% +1
- 37.6 to 37.8 16% −4
- 38.5 to 38.7 16% +5
- Above 38.7 14% +4
- 37.3 to 37.5 7% −5
- Below 37.0 5% —
- 37.0 to 37.2 5% −1
Traded today$19K
Traded in all$35K
Favourite, 7 days+13 pts
37.9 to 38.1, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 10: 23% · Oct 11: 22% · Oct 12: 22% · Oct 13: 23%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, 37.9 to 38.1; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the President's approval rating is between 37.9 and 38.1% at 11:00 AM ET on October 16, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will determine at 11:00 AM ET on October 16, 2026.
Settlement sources: RealClearPolitics
See it on Kalshi ↗