The odds
as of Oct 28, 17:18 UTC- Chance of yes 6.4% −25
Traded today$10K
Traded in all$25K
Yes, 7 days+6 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 21: <1% · Oct 22: 5.6% · Oct 23: 5% · Oct 24: 4.1% · Oct 25: 7.7% · Oct 26: 18% · Oct 27: 19% · Oct 28: 6.4%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Flávio Bolsonaro is charged with a crime or arrested by Brazilian authorities, including by authorities of any state or other subdivision of Brazil, by October 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government involved in any action against Bolsonaro and information from Bolsonaro and/or his legal representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗