The odds
as of Oct 25, 13:20 UTC- Above 94 92% —
- Above 97 54% −5
- Above 98 22% —
- Above 99 16% −9
- Above 100 4.5% —
- Above 101 3.5% —
- Above 104 2.5% —
A ladder: each line is its own yes/no question on the same number, in order, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$4K
Traded in all$26K
Favourite, 7 days+8 pts
Above 94, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 18: 84% · Oct 19: 84% · Oct 20: 90% · Oct 21: 90% · Oct 22: 92% · Oct 23: 92% · Oct 24: 92% · Oct 25: 92%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Above 94; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the Carbon Arc Taco Bell Foot Traffic (October 2026) for October 2026 is above 94 , then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on finalized Carbon Arc values recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 7th calendar day after the end of the month covered by this market. For example, finalized Carbon Arc values for August will be recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 7th. The index measures year-over-year change, where 100 means Taco Bell Foot Traffic was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% more visits than year prior, 97 = 3% fewer visits than year prior. The index is measured by Carbon Arc mobile location data across 200M+ devices, matched to the same calendar days of the prior year and normalized for seasonality, weather, and holidays. The panel updates daily as new data arrives.
Settlement sources: Carbon Arc
See it on Kalshi ↗