The odds
as of Nov 5, 15:17 UTC- Carlos Alcaraz 56% +22
- Ben Shelton 12% −2
- Tommy Paul 8.8% +1
- Lorenzo Musetti 8.1% —
- Arthur Fils 5.5% −5.5
- Taylor Fritz 5.5% −1.5
- Casper Ruud 5% −2
- Rinky Hijikata 4.5% −2
Traded today$16K
Traded in all$26K
Favourite, 7 days+37 pts
Carlos Alcaraz, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceNov 1: 27% · Nov 2: 28% · Nov 3: 32% · Nov 4: 47% · Nov 5: 56%
The same question on Kalshi
Two venues, two sets of traders, sometimes two slightly different rules — read both before comparing. Kalshi's number is as of Nov 5, 15:17 UTC.
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThe 2026 Paris, France tennis tournament is scheduled for October 31–November 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Paris, France Men’s Singles Tournament.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Paris, France Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If a player who is not listed wins the 2026 Paris, France Men’s Singles Tournament, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Paris, France Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after November 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from ATP (https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Settlement sources: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Sports event contracts aren't legal everywhere; the venue's own rules on age and location apply. OddsOnAir shows prices and never takes or advises a trade.
See it on Polymarket ↗