The odds
as of Oct 5, 07:48 UTC- Chance of yes 31% +11
Traded today$7K
Traded in all$110K
Yes, 7 days+16 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceSep 28: 14% · Sep 29: 14% · Sep 30: 16% · Oct 1: 14% · Oct 2: 20% · Oct 3: 19% · Oct 4: 23% · Oct 5: 31%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗