The odds
as of Nov 9, 05:18 UTC- Tim Pool 31% +7
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 19% —
- Dan Bongino 7.3% —
- Tulsi Gabbard 6.8% —
- Ben Shapiro 4.8% —
- Tucker Carlson 4.3% —
- Matt Walsh 3.8% —
- Benny Johnson 1.1% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$500
Traded in all$65K
Favourite, 7 days−16 pts
Tim Pool, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceNov 1: 47% · Nov 2: 47% · Nov 3: 40% · Nov 4: 37% · Nov 5: 32% · Nov 6: 30% · Nov 8: 28% · Nov 9: 31%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Tim Pool; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Tim Pool attends any White House press briefing which takes place in the James S. Brady Press Briefing Room after Issuance and before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Attendance is confirmed if the person is reported present at the event by any Source Agency, including social media posts by the person themselves. Brief appearances or partial attendance count as attendance.
Settlement sources: The New York Times; the Associated Press; Reuters; Axios; Politico; Semafor; The Information; The Washington Post; The Wall Street Journal; ABC; CBS; CNN; Fox News; MSNBC; USA Today; Billboard; Vogue; The White House
See it on Kalshi ↗