The odds
as of Oct 8, 22:24 UTC- Elon Musk 49% +37
- Dana White 21% +6
- Reid Wiseman 18% —
- Lee Greenwood 17% —
- Sylvester Stallone 15% —
- Sean Hannity 13% —
- Kid Rock 13% —
- Bill Belichick 5% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$1K
Traded in all$30K
Favourite, 7 days+39 pts
Elon Musk, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 1: 11% · Oct 2: 11% · Oct 3: 10% · Oct 4: 12% · Oct 5: 12% · Oct 6: 11% · Oct 7: 12% · Oct 8: 11%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Elon Musk; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Elon Musk is awarded the Presidential Medal of Freedom before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: The White House; the President of the United States
See it on Kalshi ↗