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PolymarketCloses January 1, 2027

Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by...?

December 31 leads at 9.5% (a long shot, about one in 11) on Polymarket, as of Oct 7, 22:22 UTC. It's down 4 points in the last 24 hours.

The odds

as of Oct 7, 22:22 UTC
  • December 31 9.5% −4
  • October 31 8.5% +3

Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.

Traded today$10K
Traded in all$28K
Favourite, 7 days−17 pts

December 31, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Sep 30Oct 710%

Sep 30: 26% · Oct 1: 22% · Oct 2: 14% · Oct 3: 14% · Oct 4: 14% · Oct 5: 14% · Oct 6: 14% · Oct 7: 9.5%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kimberly Guilfoyle ceases to be U.S. Ambassador to Greece for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Kimberly Guilfoyle's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Kimberly Guilfoyle and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗

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