The odds
as of Oct 6, 15:25 UTC- Olivia Chow 76% −15
- Brad Bradford 25% +10
- Anthony Furey 2.1% —
- John Tory 1.9% —
- Chris Alexander 1% —
Traded today$3K
Traded in all$27K
Favourite, 7 days−13 pts
Olivia Chow, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 29: 89% · Sep 30: 89% · Oct 1: 89% · Oct 2: 89% · Oct 3: 88% · Oct 4: 90% · Oct 5: 89% · Oct 6: 76%
The same question on Polymarket
Two venues, two sets of traders, sometimes two slightly different rules — read both before comparing. Polymarket's number is as of Oct 6, 15:25 UTC.
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Olivia Chow; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Olivia Chow wins the 2026 Toronto mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.
Settlement sources: Toronto City Clerk
See it on Kalshi ↗