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PolymarketCloses October 27, 2026

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

Olivia Chow leads at 88% (about 9 in ten) on Polymarket, as of Oct 5, 10:30 UTC. It's down 1.5 points in the last 24 hours.

The odds

as of Oct 5, 10:30 UTC
  • Olivia Chow 88% −1.5
  • Brad Bradford 12% +1.5
  • Ana Bailão <1% —
  • Michael Ford <1% —
  • Anthony Furey <1% —
  • Marco Mendicino <1% —
  • John Tory <1% —
  • Kevin Clarke <1% —
Traded today$4K
Traded in all$213K
Favourite, 7 days+0.5 pts

Olivia Chow, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Sep 27Oct 588%

Sep 28: 88% · Sep 29: 88% · Sep 30: 88% · Oct 1: 87% · Oct 2: 87% · Oct 3: 86% · Oct 4: 90% · Oct 5: 88%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
See it on Polymarket ↗

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