The odds
as of Nov 4, 23:15 UTC- Hakeem Jeffries 95% +6
- Katherine Clark 5% +1
- Pete Aguilar 4% +2
- Jim Jordan 2% —
- Steve Scalise 2% —
- Tom Emmer 1% —
- Mike Johnson 1% −5
Traded today$4K
Traded in all$25K
Favourite, 7 days+3 pts
Hakeem Jeffries, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 28: 92% · Oct 29: 92% · Oct 30: 90% · Oct 31: 88% · Nov 1: 89% · Nov 2: 87% · Nov 3: 92% · Nov 4: 95%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Hakeem Jeffries; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Hakeem Jeffries wins the election for Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives at the opening of the 120th Congress, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.
Settlement sources: House of Representatives
See it on Kalshi ↗