Moving
Who will be a part of the next government of Israel? The Democrats 95% ▲+91When will OpenAI release Astra 6.1+? Before Dec 31, 2026 86% ▲+81North Carolina State Senate winner? Republican party 90% ▲+73USS Theodore Roosevelt arrives in CENTCOM by...? November 15 7% ▼−672026 Midterms: U.S. House turnout? 120 to 124.99 million 87% ▲+66Oriol Roca Batalla vs Nicolas Kicker Nicolas Kicker 93% ▲+57Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by...? October 31 54% ▲+53Hontama vs Linette Mai Hontama 82% ▲+522026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victor… Democrats, 14 to 16% 74% ▲+47What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be? $1.50–$1.75T 19% ▼−47Dal / Judith Visscher vs Johanna Brockmann / Seidel Dal / Judith Visscher 93% ▲+46Vergara Rivera vs Estevez Josefina Estevez 63% ▲+42Al Arabi Doha vs Al Ahli Doha Al Arabi Doha 91% ▲+40Mai Hontama vs Magda Linette: Set 2 Winner Mai Hontama 73% ▲+39
KalshiCloses April 1, 2027

2027 Toyota Sienna starting MSRP

A ladder on one number: the likeliest rung is Above $41,000 at 74% on Kalshi, as of Nov 6, 15:16 UTC. It's down 15 points in the last 24 hours.

Above $41,000 74% ▼ 15 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Nov 6, 15:16 UTC
  • Above $41,000 74% −15
  • Above $41,500 10% −63
  • Above $42,000 25% —
  • Above $42,500 2% −7
  • Above $43,000 3.5% −4
  • Above $43,500 3% —
  • Above $44,000 3% —
  • Above $44,500 3% —

A ladder: each line is its own yes/no question on the same number, in order, so the chances don't add up to 100%.

Traded today$3K
Traded in all$25K
Favourite, 7 days−16 pts

Above $41,000, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Oct 30Nov 653%

Oct 30: 90% · Oct 31: 90% · Nov 1: 90% · Nov 2: 90% · Nov 3: 90% · Nov 4: 90% · Nov 5: 90% · Nov 6: 53%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Above $41,000; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Toyota’s first official, non-preliminary U.S. starting MSRP for the 2027 Toyota Sienna, published after Issuance and before Apr 1, 2027, is above $41,000, then the market resolves to Yes. Starting MSRP means the manufacturer-published price for the model’s lowest-priced U.S. retail configuration across trims, cab styles, bed lengths, and drivetrains, explicitly identified as “Starting MSRP” or “Base MSRP” on its official U.S. model page, pricing announcement, or price sheet. Pricing for higher-priced configurations alone does not qualify. Prices are in USD, excluding destination/delivery charges, duties, taxes, registration, dealer fees or markups, and optional equipment, and without applying rebates, incentives, tax credits, or discounts. The event will close and resolve upon qualifying publication, without waiting until the announcement cutoff. Later price changes, corrections, and revisions are ignored. Estimates, third-party prices, and prices for other model years do not qualify. If no qualifying price is published within the specified window, all markets resolve No. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Toyota. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources: Toyota

See it on Kalshi ↗

Economy

More markets like this

All →