The odds
as of Oct 6, 21:23 UTC- D. John Sauer 24% +19
- Andrew Oldham 21% —
- James Ho 12% —
- Aileen Cannon 9.6% +4
- Amul Thapar 6% —
- Ron DeSantis 4.5% —
- Emil Bove 4.3% —
- Ted Cruz 4.2% +3
Traded today$3K
Traded in all$732K
Favourite, 7 days+21 pts
D. John Sauer, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 3.5% · Sep 29: 3.5% · Sep 30: 3.5% · Oct 1: 4.5% · Oct 2: 5.5% · Oct 3: 5.5% · Oct 5: 4% · Oct 6: 24%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, D. John Sauer; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If D. John Sauer is the first person confirmed by the Senate to the position of Justice of the Supreme Court by January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: Library of Congress
See it on Kalshi ↗