The odds
as of Oct 5, 05:55 UTC- Chance of yes 6.5% +2
Traded today$7K
Traded in all$808K
Yes, 7 days+1 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 5.5% · Sep 29: 5.5% · Sep 30: 5.5% · Oct 1: 4.5% · Oct 2: 4.5% · Oct 3: 4.5% · Oct 4: 5.5% · Oct 5: 6.5%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for wordIf any disease becomes a pandemic in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: WHO
See it on Kalshi ↗